{"id":20532,"date":"2015-02-24T19:45:23","date_gmt":"2015-02-24T18:45:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/?p=20532"},"modified":"2015-02-25T15:18:30","modified_gmt":"2015-02-25T14:18:30","slug":"evolution-des-scores-a-paris-22-juin-2014-13-fevrier-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/?p=20532","title":{"rendered":"Evolution des scores \u00e0 Paris: 22 juin 2014-13 f\u00e9vrier 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"

Voici une nouvelle analyse des scores \u00e0 Paris des partis permanents (qui sont pr\u00e9sents \u00e0 toutes les \u00e9lections). Les gauchos r\u00e9actionnaires feront exception \u00e0 la r\u00e8gle puisqu’il y a eu une campagne sans eux mais \u00e7a ce remarquera \u00e0 peine. Je pr\u00e9cise que tout sera compt\u00e9 sur le premier tour.<\/p>\n

L\u00e9gende:<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Vainqueur<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Elimin\u00e9 2e tour<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Elimin\u00e9 1er tour<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Non rembours\u00e9<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

22\/06\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,27%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21,05%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,97%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,93%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,53%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,48%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,24%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

10\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27,93%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,77%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,80%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,33%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,38%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,43%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

28\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,16%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,52%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,35%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,59%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,78%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,21%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

15\/08\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,61%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,92%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,90%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,10%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,53%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,85%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23,49%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,62%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

<\/td>\n\n

5,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,12%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

20\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,55%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,63%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,79%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,39%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,73%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,44%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24,68%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,30%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,75%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,72%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,56%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,05%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23,16%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,69%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,84%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,68%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,34%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18,39%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,45%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,89%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,35%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,62%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,03%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,63%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,27%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,46%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,18%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,09%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

21\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,47%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,44%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,99%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,48%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,73%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,52%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

19,96%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,07%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,18%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,34%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,95%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,17%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,00%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,80%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,49%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,50%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,32%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,83%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,98%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,33%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,86%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,13%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,74%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Je suis d’accord, c’est un peu le bazar et on y comprend pas grand chose. Je vais donc d\u00e9couper tout \u00e7a en 4 moments diff\u00e9rents.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

33,27%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21,05%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,97%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,93%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,53%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,48%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,24%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

J’ai oubli\u00e9 de mettre la date mais c’est le premier tour du 22 juin. On se rend compte de l’\u00e9norme domination PLH-PO qui totalisent a eux seuls 54 % des voix. A noter \u00e9galement la catastrophique position des Joyeux Auvergnats \u00e0 2.24 % donc bien en dessous du remboursement. L’Alliance des Elites est plut\u00f4t pas mal plac\u00e9, le FR non plus quand aux gauchos, ils parviennent tant bien que mal \u00e0 \u00eatre au-dessus des 5 %.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23,49%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,62%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,12%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Je continue par ce 2 septembre. Bien que c’est la seule fois o\u00f9 les gauchos r\u00e9actionnaires sont absents, cette \u00e9lection est importante car elle montre la renaissance des Joyeux Auvergnats. On peut \u00e9galement noter que la domination PLH-PO devient moins importante et que tous les partis permanents sont rembours\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18,39%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,45%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,89%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,35%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Certains s’en souviennent peut-\u00eatre, ce 13 novembre, Artarriate (Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires), alli\u00e9 \u00e0 Talisman (Parti Orgasmique) prend la d\u00e9cision de se maintenir et fait bien puisque le lendemain, il est \u00e9lu et fait la premi\u00e8re victoire d’un autre parti que le PLH et le PO pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 5 mois. On note des \u00e9carts de plus en plus serr\u00e9s puisque le 22 juin, il y avait plus de 23 points d’\u00e9cart entre le premier et le troisi\u00e8me alors que \u00e0 cette \u00e9lection, il y en a 6.5.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,83%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,98%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,33%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,86%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,13%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,74%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Enfin, je vais terminer par le 13 f\u00e9vrier puisque c’est la derni\u00e8re \u00e9lection que nous avons eu. A l’\u00e9lection pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, les Cancres Diplomates (non pr\u00e9sent sur ce tableau) avaient gagn\u00e9 mais cette fois, ce fut un retour \u00e0 la normal avec un PLH \u00e0 presque 21 au premier tour et un PO \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 11%. Finalement, le PLH a gagn\u00e9 avec un score de 67 \u00e0 33.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Maintenant nous allons analyser les partis.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Lib\u00e9ral Humaniste<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti Orgasmique<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

22\/06\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,27%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21,05%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

10\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27,93%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

28\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,16%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,52%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

15\/08\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,61%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,92%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23,49%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

20\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,55%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,63%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24,68%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,30%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23,16%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18,39%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,62%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,03%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

21\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,47%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,44%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

19,96%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,07%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,17%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,00%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,83%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,98%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Je commence par les 2 partis que l’on pourrait appeler \u00ab\u00a0leaders\u00a0\u00bb. Un surnom m\u00e9rit\u00e9 puisqu’ils auront 10 sur 14 fois la mairie de Paris. De plus, le PLH aura une moyenne de plus de 19 % et le PO de quasiment 18. Les 22 juin et 10 juillet, ils totalisent \u00e0 eux deux plus de la moiti\u00e9 des voix. Toutefois, \u00e0 partir du 28 juillet, leur domination devient moins importante: 43 % \u00e0 eux deux et seulement 26 \u00e0 l’\u00e9lection d’apr\u00e8s. Mais leur r\u00e9elle catastrophe est le jour de l’hiver, le 21 d\u00e9cembre 2014. Ils ne totalisent m\u00eame pas 20% \u00e0 eux deux. Les Joyeux Auvergnats et les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires leur passe devant.\u00a0 Apr\u00e8s, ils ne parviendront que difficilement \u00e0 d\u00e9passer 30% \u00e0 eux deux.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Gauchos R\u00e9actionnaires<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Les Joyeux Auvergnats<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

22\/06\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,53%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,24%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

10\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,33%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,43%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

28\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,59%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,21%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

15\/08\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,10%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,85%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,12%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

20\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,39%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,44%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,05%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,34%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,89%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,46%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,09%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

21\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,52%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,18%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,95%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,50%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,86%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,74%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ces deux partis constituent les remont\u00e9es. Ils ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 obtenus la mairie de Paris auparavant et la reprennent malgr\u00e9 un faible score au d\u00e9but. Le 22 juin, les gauchos \u00e9taient \u00e0 peine rembours\u00e9s quand aux auvergnats ils \u00e9taient coinc\u00e9s \u00e0 2%. Tout cela dura un peu quand lors d’une belle journ\u00e9e de rentr\u00e9e, le 2 septembre, les auvergnats nous font un rebond en se pointant un 10% tandis que les gauchos ne sont m\u00eame pas l\u00e0. La tendance se confirmera pour les auvergnats jusqu’au moment o\u00f9 le 13 novembre, les gauchos font un magnifique score. Pire, ils sont m\u00eame \u00e9lus. Leurs succ\u00e9d\u00e8rent deux fois les joyeux auvergnats mais le pic est atteint le 21 d\u00e9cembre. En effet, les Gauchos et les Auvergnats sont au-dessus du PLH et du PO de plus de 6 points. Bien qu’apr\u00e8s, ils n’obtinrent plus la mairie, ils r\u00e9ussirent toujours \u00e0 d\u00e9passer ou rester pr\u00e8s des 20%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

L’Alliance des Elites<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Front de la R\u00e9bellion \u00ab\u00a0FR\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

22\/06\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,97%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,93%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

10\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,77%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,80%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

28\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,35%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

15\/08\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,90%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,62%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,01%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

20\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,22%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,79%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,75%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,72%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,69%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,84%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,45%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,64%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,63%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,27%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

21\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,99%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,48%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,41%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,80%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,49%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,65%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,33%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ces 2 partis constituent ce que l’on pourrait appeler les \u00ab\u00a0Partis interm\u00e9diaires\u00a0\u00bb. Leur total varie de 6 \u00e0 25%. En revanche, contrairement aux pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, ce sont deux situations diff\u00e9rentes. L’alliance des Elites sort de 4 mandats d’un dictateur de son parti alors que le FR est beaucoup plus r\u00e9cent et a mont\u00e9 comme descendu. Le 28 juillet, c’est parti, les deux partis montent et le FR va au second tour deux fois de suite. L’\u00e9lection d’apr\u00e8s, les 2 partis totalisent 25% des voix. En septembre, aucun n’arrivera au second tour mais le remboursement tiendra. Le 8 octobre, l’alliance des Elites passe sous la barre des 5%, repassera au-dessus le 13 novembre et passera en dessous pour la derni\u00e8re fois le 2 d\u00e9cembre. Quand au FR, il s’en sortait pas mal mais le 2 d\u00e9cembre il hute \u00e0 1% ce qui marqua la fin de sa hausse. L’Alliance des Elites r\u00e9ussit \u00e0 faire le score tr\u00e8s imposant de 14.41 % le 8 janvier avant de retomber dans des scores moyens.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Parti D\u00e9terministre<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

22\/06\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,48%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

10\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,38%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

28\/07\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,78%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

15\/08\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,53%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,60%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

20\/09\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,73%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,56%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/10\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,68%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/11\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,35%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

02\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,18%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

21\/12\/2014<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,73%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

08\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,34%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

26\/01\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,32%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

13\/02\/2015<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,13%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

On termine par le Parti D\u00e9terministre mais pas grand chose \u00e0 dire si ce n’est qu’ils n’eurent une p\u00e9riode de remboursement seulement du 15 aout au 20 septembre 2014.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Bon ben… \u00e0 dans 6 mois hein?<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Une nouvelle analyse des scores \u00e0 Paris.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":168,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-container-style":"default","site-container-layout":"default","site-sidebar-layout":"default","disable-article-header":"default","disable-site-header":"default","disable-site-footer":"default","disable-content-area-spacing":"default","footnotes":""},"categories":[312,3],"tags":[46],"class_list":["post-20532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-g-a-la-une","category-1-vpmi","tag-paris"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20532","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/168"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20532"}],"version-history":[{"count":24,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20532\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20585,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20532\/revisions\/20585"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20532"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20532"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vpmedias.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20532"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}